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Science and Nature
A definitive version of the Easy and Interesting Introduction to Bayesian Statistics. By mastering this book, you and usage of Bayesian statistics by using interesting and simple examples. By mastering this book, you will be able to model uncertain matters in mathematics and make better choices with limited information. You don't need to have a high level of knowledge in mathematics. You will need to have a basic knowledge of algebra that you will learn in high school. ● Case-based explanation By solving specific examples, you will be able to confirm your understanding with practice questions that are easy to achieve (the answers are available at the end of this book) ● Interesting and simple examples ・ Delve into the probability that the bright light seen outside the window at night is a UFO based on what you already know and what you believe about the world. ● Explore the way to understand the probability of Han Solo's survival in inter-asteroid flight with Bayes' theorem and deepen your understanding of prior probability. ● [『 Star Wars / Empire Counter-Attack 』] ・ Find out why it is a waste of time to discuss with close relatives and conspiracy theorist. ・ If you are diagnosed with a rare disease during a medical checkup, how much you should worry about it ● Readers of this book ・ General readers → Express various problems encountered in daily life with mathematical formulas and make better choices and decisions. ・ Engineers and programmers → Learn how to evaluate decisions quantitatively and successfully. ・ Marketers and salesmen → Use this concept in conducting A/B tests, understanding customer behavior, and assessing the value of business opportunities.